← Serie B 2023 · Fri, May 10, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Reggiana win | 27% | 3.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 +0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Reggiana +0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.56 |
| Under | 39% | 2.51 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Manolo Portanova · Reggiana |
| 45' | 🟨 | Wylan Cyprien · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 48' | 🟨 | Elvis Kabashi · Reggiana |
| 59' | 🟨 | Riccardo Fiamozzi · Reggiana |
| 59' | 🟨 | Enrico Del Prato · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 61' | ⚽ (pen) | Ange-Yoan Bonny · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 87' | 🟨 | Luca Cigarini · Reggiana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antonio Vergara · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 20 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 344.00 | 648.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1409.74 | 1605.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.26 | 4.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.52 | 0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.50 | 47.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.84 |
| league points | 46.00 | 75.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 5.23 | 5.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 2.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.85 | 1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.74 | 24.25 |
| state index | -0.59 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |