← Serie B 2023 · Fri, May 10, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: K. Bonacina
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 57% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Cittadella win | 19% | 5.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Cittadella −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.55 |
| Under | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Filippo Pittarello · Cittadella |
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Massimo Coda · Cremonese |
| 36' | ⚽ | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 39' | 🟨 | Valerio Mastrantonio · Cittadella |
| 54' | 🟨 | Luka Lochoshvili · Cremonese |
| 82' | 🟨 | Dennis Johnsen · Cremonese |
| 88' | ⚽ | Dennis Johnsen · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 252.00 | 1044.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1557.10 | 1427.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.69 | -7.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.73 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.74 |
| league points | 64.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 5.23 | 5.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.21 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.80 | 26.17 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.42 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |