← Serie B 2023 · Sun, May 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Sacchi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 36% | 2.75 |
| Cosenza win | 33% | 3.17 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza +0.25 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Spezia +0.25 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Cosenza |
| 23' | 🟨 | Arkadiusz Reca · Spezia |
| 44' | 🟨 | Mattia Viviani · Cosenza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alessandro Micai · Cosenza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Manuel Marras · Cosenza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Francesco Pio Esposito · Spezia |
| 45' | ⚽ | Arkadiusz Reca · Spezia |
| 50' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Cosenza |
| 64' | 🟨 | Alessandro Fontanarosa · Cosenza |
| 73' | ⚽ | Salvatore Elia · Spezia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dimitris Nikolaou · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 31 |
| 5 | On target | 13 |
| 5 | Corners | 15 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 65.00 | 186.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1453.01 | 1468.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 53.65 | -1.35 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.52 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| league points | 45.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.64 | 27.10 |
| state index | 0.39 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.83 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |