← Serie B 2023 · Sun, May 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Fabbri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 63% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 |
| Feralpisalo win | 16% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Feralpisalo −1 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.52 |
| Under | 37% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Nunzio Lella · Venezia FC |
| 51' | 🟨 | Andrea La Mantia · Feralpisalo |
| 57' | 🟨 | Michael Svoboda · Venezia FC |
| 60' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
| 78' | 🟨 | Ali Dembélé · Venezia FC |
| 83' | ⚽ | Mattia Compagnon · Feralpisalo |
| 85' | 🟨 | Mikael Ellertsson · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Magnus Kofod Andersen · Venezia FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Feralpisalo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 551.00 | 217.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1575.32 | 1409.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.08 | -24.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.57 |
| league points | 67.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.01 | 26.94 |
| state index | 0.47 | -0.71 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |