← Serie B 2023 · Sun, May 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 37% | 2.75 |
| Ternana win | 36% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana +0.25 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Catanzaro +0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Tiago Casasola · Ternana |
| 34' | 🟨 | Jari Vandeputte · Catanzaro |
| 48' | 🟨 | Jacopo Petriccione · Catanzaro |
| 55' | 🟨 | Simone Pontisso · Catanzaro |
| 78' | ⚽ | Filippo Di Stefano · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 186.00 | 916.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.34 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1408.74 | 1478.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.14 | 22.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.78 |
| league points | 37.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 34.40 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -11.20 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.48 | 1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.40 | 27.39 |
| state index | -0.59 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.58 | 1.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |