← Serie B 2023 · Wed, May 1, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Tremolada
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Lecco win | 20% | 5.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria +0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Lecco +0.75 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.79 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 57' | 🟨 | Matteo Ricci · Sampdoria |
| 62' | 🟨 | Duccio Degli Innocenti · Lecco |
| 73' | 🟥 | Franco Lepore · Lecco |
| 81' | ⚽ | Manuel De Luca · Sampdoria |
| 89' | 🟨 | Giovanni Crociata · Lecco |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lecco | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi |
| coach days | 30.00 | 335.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 3.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1343.84 | 1499.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.23 | 1.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.33 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.78 |
| league points | 26.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 4.17 | 4.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 1.37 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.89 | 25.86 |
| state index | -0.75 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |