← Serie B 2023 · Wed, May 1, 04:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 36% | 2.70 |
| Modena win | 34% | 2.80 |
| Reggiana win | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Modena +0 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Reggiana +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.52 |
| Over | 37% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Antonio Palumbo · Modena |
| 36' | 🟨 | Thomas Battistella · Modena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Antonio Pergreffi · Modena |
| 64' | ⚽ (pen) | Cedric Gondo · Reggiana |
| 72' | 🟨 | Fabio Abiuso · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 335.00 | 30.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1406.56 | 1435.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.67 | -5.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.03 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.00 | 49.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.58 |
| league points | 43.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 4.07 | 4.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.92 | 27.27 |
| state index | -0.66 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |