← Serie B 2023 · Wed, May 1, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 43% | 2.23 |
| Catanzaro win | 30% | 3.28 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC +0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Catanzaro +0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Simone Pontisso · Catanzaro |
| 14' | ⚽ | Jay Idzes · Venezia FC |
| 46' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Sounas · Catanzaro |
| 47' | 🟨 | Marin Šverko · Venezia FC |
| 55' | ⚽ | Jay Idzes · Venezia FC |
| 57' | 🟨 | Marin Šverko · Venezia FC |
| 57' | 🟥 | Marin Šverko · Venezia FC |
| 59' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 75' | 🟨 | Stefano Scognamillo · Catanzaro |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days | 912.00 | 547.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1466.77 | 1587.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.45 | 5.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | 0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.74 |
| league points | 57.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 4.77 | 4.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.40 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.78 | 0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.19 | 26.58 |
| state index | -0.10 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.18 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |