← Serie B 2023 · Wed, May 1, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Cosso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 |
| Cittadella win | 17% | 6.24 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 −0.75 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Cittadella −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Patrick Cutrone · Como 1907 |
| 25' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 53' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bellemo · Como 1907 |
| 64' | 🟨 | Andrea Magrassi · Cittadella |
| 71' | ⚽ | Filippo Pittarello · Cittadella |
| 73' | ⚽ | Simone Verdi · Como 1907 |
| 89' | 🟨 | Elhan Kastrati · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jean-Pierre Nsame · Como 1907 |
| 90' | ⚽ | Edoardo Goldaniga · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 152.00 | 1035.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 3.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1571.40 | 1434.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.82 | 17.38 |
| eye test v1 | 1.04 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 68.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | -1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.81 | 26.52 |
| state index | 0.88 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |