← Serie B 2023 · Wed, May 1, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 47% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Palermo win | 26% | 4.24 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Spezia −0.5 | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Di Serio · Spezia |
| 29' | 🟨 | Salvatore Esposito · Spezia |
| 65' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Spezia |
| 70' | 🟨 | Filippo Ranocchia · Palermo |
| 74' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Di Serio · Spezia |
| 87' | 🟨 | Leonardo Mancuso · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Liam Henderson · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Federico Di Francesco · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days | 182.00 | 30.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1459.44 | 1493.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.88 | -26.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.76 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 48.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| league points | 37.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 4.04 | 3.95 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.49 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.02 | 27.48 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |