← Serie B 2023 · Wed, May 1, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Piccinini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Cosenza win | 28% | 3.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Gennaro Tutino · Cosenza |
| 38' | 🟨 | Sauli Väisänen · Ascoli |
| 41' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Cosenza |
| 56' | 🟨 | Marcello Falzerano · Ascoli |
| 69' | 🟨 | Valerio Mantovani · Ascoli |
| 74' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Ascoli |
| 74' | 🟨 | Michele Camporese · Cosenza |
| 74' | 🟨 | Giacomo Calò · Cosenza |
| 78' | 🟨 | Federico Zuccon · Cosenza |
| 79' | 🟨 | Alessandro Fontanarosa · Cosenza |
| 84' | 🟨 | Andrea Meroni · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 61.00 | 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1447.67 | 1441.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.24 | 31.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.70 |
| league points | 37.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 4.04 | 3.95 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.14 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.79 | 27.47 |
| state index | -0.09 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |