← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Apr 27, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Perenzoni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 51% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 |
| Reggiana win | 22% | 4.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Palermo −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Libutti · Reggiana |
| 35' | ⚽ | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 43' | 🟨 | Alessandro Marcandalli · Reggiana |
| 51' | 🟨 | Liam Henderson · Palermo |
| 52' | ⚽ | Manolo Portanova · Reggiana |
| 66' | ⚽ | Paolo Rozzio · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.13 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.14 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 26.00 | 331.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.74 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1508.59 | 1391.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.09 | -37.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.55 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.70 | 42.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| league points | 52.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.82 | 7.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.72 | 27.61 |
| state index | -0.75 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.69 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |