← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Apr 27, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 48% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Feralpisalo win | 25% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Feralpisalo −0.5 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Cittadella −0.5 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.88 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Carissoni · Cittadella |
| 23' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Carissoni · Cittadella |
| 81' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Carriero · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Fiordilino · Feralpisalo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Alessandro Pietrelli · Feralpisalo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Feralpisalo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 1031.00 | 209.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1436.53 | 1406.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.81 | -18.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| league points | 44.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.11 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.11 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.48 | 24.36 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |