← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Apr 27, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 38% | 2.63 |
| Sampdoria win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Sampdoria +0 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Fabio Depaoli · Sampdoria |
| 24' | 🟨 | Marco Sala · Como 1907 |
| 53' | 🟨 | Fabio Borini · Sampdoria |
| 61' | 🟨 | Gabriel Strefezza · Como 1907 |
| 66' | ⚽ | Fabio Borini · Sampdoria |
| 69' | 🟨 | Matthias Braunöder · Como 1907 |
| 82' | ⚽ | Patrick Cutrone · Como 1907 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sebastiano Esposito · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 11 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 331.00 | 148.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.01 | 3.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1498.90 | 1571.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.79 | 49.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.60 |
| league points | 47.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.37 | 27.35 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.90 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |