← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Apr 20, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 56% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.14 |
| Lecco win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC +0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Lecco +0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Nicolò Buso · Lecco |
| 33' | 🟨 | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
| 58' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
| 60' | ⚽ | Gianluca Busio · Venezia FC |
| 68' | 🟨 | Franco Lepore · Lecco |
| 77' | 🟥 | Vedran Celjak · Lecco |
| 85' | 🟨 | Vittorio Parigini · Lecco |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 23 |
| 4 | On target | 11 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lecco | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi |
| coach days | 19.00 | 536.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.19 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1354.73 | 1573.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.34 | 20.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | 0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.55 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.73 |
| league points | 26.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.20 | 0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.54 | 26.02 |
| state index | -0.56 | 0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |