← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Apr 20, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Di Bello
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Sampdoria win | 29% | 3.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Spezia −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Giovanni Leoni · Sampdoria |
| 13' | 🟨 | Francesco Cassata · Spezia |
| 28' | 🟨 | Rachid Kouda · Spezia |
| 86' | 🟨 | Aleš Matějů · Spezia |
| 86' | 🟨 | Estanis Pedrola · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 4 |
| 1 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 22 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days | 171.00 | 324.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 3.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1457.72 | 1498.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.28 | 18.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 35.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.82 | 25.86 |
| state index | -0.02 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |