← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Apr 20, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 38% | 2.52 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Pisa win | 31% | 3.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Bari −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Arturo Calabresi · Pisa |
| 25' | 🟨 | Valerio Di Cesare · Bari |
| 60' | ⚽ (pen) | George Pușcaș · Bari |
| 74' | 🟨 | Tommaso Barbieri · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giacomo Ricci · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 19.00 | 294.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1441.31 | 1475.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.29 | 4.69 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.50 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 45.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 35.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | 1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.23 | 27.81 |
| state index | -0.88 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | 0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |