← Serie B 2023 · Fri, Apr 19, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Sozza
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana win | 37% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.10 |
| Cosenza win | 29% | 3.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.25 | 56% | 1.72 |
| Reggiana −0.25 | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Tommaso D'Orazio · Cosenza |
| 25' | 🟨 | Manuel Marras · Cosenza |
| 44' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Cosenza |
| 65' | 🟨 | Michael Venturi · Cosenza |
| 69' | 🟨 | Idriz Voca · Cosenza |
| 82' | ⚽ | Francesco Forte · Cosenza |
| 86' | 🟨 | Luca Cigarini · Reggiana |
| 88' | 🟨 | Mateusz Praszelik · Cosenza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Francesco Forte · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 323.00 | 49.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 3.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1414.40 | 1403.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.24 | -16.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.67 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.39 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.90 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.66 |
| league points | 40.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 6.18 | 6.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.20 | 26.59 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |