← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Apr 14, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 |
| Brescia win | 19% | 5.09 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Venezia FC −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Tanner Tessmann · Venezia FC |
| 46' | 🟨 | Nicolas Galazzi · Brescia |
| 51' | 🟨 | Marin Šverko · Venezia FC |
| 54' | 🟨 | Mohamed Fares · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mato Jajalo · Venezia FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tanner Tessmann · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 530.00 | 165.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1564.21 | 1490.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.66 | 31.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| league points | 58.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.81 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.26 | 27.47 |
| state index | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |