← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Apr 13, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Lecco win | 31% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lecco +0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Reggiana +0.25 | 47% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.77 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Alessandro Marcandalli · Reggiana |
| 22' | 🟨 | Duccio Degli Innocenti · Lecco |
| 59' | 🟨 | Luca Cigarini · Reggiana |
| 60' | ⚽ | Artur Ioniță · Lecco |
| 70' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bianco · Reggiana |
| 89' | 🟨 | Przemysław Szymiński · Reggiana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Artur Ioniță · Lecco |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lecco | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.13 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi |
| coach days | 12.00 | 317.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1344.13 | 1425.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.33 | 10.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 48.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | — |
| league points | 23.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 0.72 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 28.83 | 27.11 |
| state index | -1.30 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |