← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Apr 13, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Rutella
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 60% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
| Bari win | 15% | 7.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari −1 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Como 1907 −1 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Emmanuele Matino · Bari |
| 38' | ⚽ | Alessandro Gabrielloni · Como 1907 |
| 42' | 🟨 | Alessio Iovine · Como 1907 |
| 56' | 🟨 | Nicola Bellomo · Bari |
| 60' | 🟨 | Francesco Vicari · Bari |
| 60' | ⚽ | Lucas Da Cunha · Como 1907 |
| 67' | 🟨 | Ahmad Benali · Bari |
| 75' | 🟨 | Raffaele Pucino · Bari |
| 90' | ⚽ | George Pușcaș · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| coach days | 134.00 | 12.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1552.57 | 1446.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.59 | -30.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.64 |
| league points | 61.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.91 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.36 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.19 | 29.91 |
| state index | 0.66 | -0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |