← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Apr 6, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Di Bello
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Catanzaro win | 32% | 3.28 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro +0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Como 1907 +0.25 | 46% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Jari Vandeputte · Catanzaro |
| 27' | 🟨 | Cas Odenthal · Como 1907 |
| 58' | 🟨 | Matias Antonini · Catanzaro |
| 62' | ⚽ | Alessandro Gabrielloni · Como 1907 |
| 67' | ⚽ | Lucas Da Cunha · Como 1907 |
| 78' | 🟨 | Luca D'Andrea · Catanzaro |
| 88' | 🟨 | Stefano Scognamillo · Catanzaro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days | 887.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1455.73 | 1543.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 49.24 | 38.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.60 |
| league points | 52.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 5.05 | 5.05 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 1.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.17 | 26.64 |
| state index | 0.37 | 0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.74 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |