← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Apr 6, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana win | 36% | 2.88 |
| Cittadella win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Cittadella +0 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Enrico Baldini · Cittadella |
| 37' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Reggiana |
| 49' | 🟨 | Francesco Amatucci · Cittadella |
| 65' | ⚽ | Luca Pandolfi · Cittadella |
| 66' | 🟨 | Mario Sampirisi · Reggiana |
| 71' | 🟨 | Claudio Cassano · Cittadella |
| 78' | ⚽ | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 310.00 | 1010.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 3.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1443.71 | 1416.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.54 | -18.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.98 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.70 | 49.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.90 | 0.66 |
| league points | 40.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 67.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 5.05 | 5.05 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.84 | 27.85 |
| state index | 0.03 | -1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |