← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Apr 6, 02:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Sampdoria win | 29% | 3.59 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Sampdoria −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Giovanni Leoni · Sampdoria |
| 23' | ⚽ (pen) | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 27' | ⚽ | Leonardo Mancuso · Palermo |
| 33' | 🟨 | Fabio Lucioni · Palermo |
| 43' | 🟨 | Antonio Barreca · Sampdoria |
| 59' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Mariano · Palermo |
| 61' | ⚽ | Ebrima Darboe · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 5.00 | 310.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1510.50 | 1509.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -54.16 | 36.40 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| league points | 49.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 5.05 | 4.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.59 | 25.42 |
| state index | -0.70 | 0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |