← Serie B 2023 · Mon, Apr 1, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Prontera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Ternana win | 24% | 4.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Ternana −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.88 |
| Under | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Gregorio Luperini · Ternana |
| 36' | ⚽ (pen) | Manuel De Luca · Sampdoria |
| 65' | ⚽ | Gastón Pereiro · Ternana |
| 83' | ⚽ | Petar Stojanović · Sampdoria |
| 85' | ⚽ | Manuel De Luca · Sampdoria |
| 87' | 🟨 | Tiago Casasola · Ternana |
| 90' | ⚽ | Manuel De Luca · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 305.00 | 152.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1498.20 | 1419.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.74 | 4.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.80 |
| league points | 42.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 16.14 | 16.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.60 | 25.79 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | -0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |