← Serie B 2023 · Mon, Apr 1, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Di Marco
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 58% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Reggiana win | 17% | 6.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana −1 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Venezia FC −1 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Filippo Melegoni · Reggiana |
| 20' | ⚽ | Gianluca Busio · Venezia FC |
| 33' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
| 45' | ⚽ | Manolo Portanova · Reggiana |
| 50' | ⚽ (og) | Giorgio Altare · Reggiana |
| 55' | 🟨 | Luca Cigarini · Reggiana |
| 65' | ⚽ | Edoardo Pieragnolo · Reggiana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Edoardo Pieragnolo · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 517.00 | 305.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1581.71 | 1428.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.63 | 17.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -1.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 1.00 |
| league points | 57.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 16.73 | 15.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 25.80 | 26.22 |
| state index | 0.85 | 0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |