← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Mar 17, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Rutella
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
| Lecco win | 21% | 4.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lecco −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Ascoli −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Karim Zedadka · Ascoli |
| 13' | ⚽ (pen) | Franco Lepore · Lecco |
| 19' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 34' | 🟨 | Mats Lemmens · Lecco |
| 42' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcello Falzerano · Ascoli |
| 46' | 🟨 | Davide Guglielmotti · Lecco |
| 71' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Bellusci · Ascoli |
| 86' | ⚽ | Dávid Ďuriš · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.11 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 16.00 | 45.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1431.72 | 1349.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.05 | -39.24 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.60 |
| league points | 28.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 59.00 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 5.82 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 0.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -2.03 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.51 | 27.37 |
| state index | -0.33 | -1.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.20 | -0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |