← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Mar 16, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana win | 36% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Spezia win | 31% | 3.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Spezia +0 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Manolo Portanova · Reggiana |
| 5' | 🟨 | Paolo Rozzio · Reggiana |
| 31' | 🟨 | Edoardo Pieragnolo · Reggiana |
| 44' | 🟨 | Salvatore Esposito · Spezia |
| 63' | 🟨 | Francesco Cassata · Spezia |
| 84' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Spezia |
| 90' | 🟥 | Elvis Kabashi · Reggiana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Francesco Pio Esposito · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 0 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 289.00 | 136.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1429.02 | 1461.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.03 | 5.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 36.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.09 | 26.94 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |