← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Mar 16, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Sudtirol win | 22% | 4.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol +0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Cremonese +0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.52 |
| Over | 36% | 2.66 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Zan Majer · Cremonese |
| 39' | ⚽ | Raphael Odogwu · Sudtirol |
| 49' | ⚽ | Riccardo Ciervo · Sudtirol |
| 83' | ⚽ | Silvio Merkaj · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 0 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 6 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 106.00 | 197.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 3.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1471.24 | 1599.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.24 | 18.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.80 |
| league points | 35.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 58.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.90 | 1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 30.74 | 28.95 |
| state index | -0.03 | 0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.19 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |