← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Mar 16, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gualtieri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 52% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Feralpisalo win | 21% | 4.84 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Feralpisalo +0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Valentin Mihăilă · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 65' | ⚽ | Edgaras Dubickas · Feralpisalo |
| 68' | ⚽ | Nahuel Estévez · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Fiordilino · Feralpisalo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gabriel Charpentier · Parma Calcio 1913 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feralpisalo | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Leonardo Garilli |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 167.00 | 593.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.01 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1424.60 | 1621.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.93 | 12.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| league points | 27.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 2.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 25.97 | 26.63 |
| state index | -0.36 | 0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |