← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Mar 16, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Cosso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.94 |
| Catanzaro win | 31% | 3.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia +0 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Catanzaro +0 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Andrea Cistana · Brescia |
| 45' | ⚽ | Tommaso Biasci · Catanzaro |
| 52' | ⚽ | Gennaro Borrelli · Brescia |
| 63' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Paghera · Brescia |
| 72' | 🟨 | Jacopo Petriccione · Catanzaro |
| 76' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Catanzaro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 136.00 | 866.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1470.60 | 1428.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.56 | 35.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.64 |
| league points | 38.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.73 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | 1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.81 | 27.82 |
| state index | -0.10 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | 1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |