← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Mar 16, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana win | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Cosenza win | 26% | 3.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ternana −0.25 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Cosenza −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.75 |
| Over | 44% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Michael Venturi · Cosenza |
| 28' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Lucchesi · Ternana |
| 55' | 🟨 | Gastón Pereiro · Ternana |
| 61' | 🟨 | Francesco Forte · Cosenza |
| 69' | ⚽ | Gastón Pereiro · Ternana |
| 86' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Amatucci · Ternana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Franco Carboni · Ternana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ternana | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Libero Liberati |
| coach days | 136.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.00 | 3.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1410.97 | 1417.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.59 | -9.30 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | 0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.70 |
| league points | 29.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.03 | 26.22 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.68 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |