← Serie B 2023 · Mon, Mar 11, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Ascoli win | 24% | 4.52 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Sampdoria −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.47 |
| Over | 34% | 2.84 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Dávid Ďuriš · Ascoli |
| 26' | 🟨 | Danilo Quaranta · Ascoli |
| 29' | 🟨 | Petar Stojanović · Sampdoria |
| 35' | 🟨 | Manuel De Luca · Sampdoria |
| 71' | 🟨 | Devis Vásquez · Ascoli |
| 77' | ⚽ | Pajtim Kasami · Sampdoria |
| 84' | 🟨 | Luca Valzania · Ascoli |
| 84' | ⚽ | Manuel De Luca · Sampdoria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sebastiano Esposito · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 27 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 284.00 | 10.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 2.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1479.94 | 1438.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.67 | 0.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.82 |
| league points | 36.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 59.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 8.18 | 8.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | -2.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 24.27 | 28.38 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | -1.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |