← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Mar 9, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 46% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Como 1907 win | 25% | 4.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Como 1907 −0.25 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟥 | Gabriel Strefezza · Como 1907 |
| 31' | 🟨 | Lucas Da Cunha · Como 1907 |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Massimo Coda · Cremonese |
| 46' | 🟨 | Oliver Abildgaard · Como 1907 |
| 64' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 67' | 🟨 | Massimo Coda · Cremonese |
| 67' | ⚽ | Lucas Da Cunha · Como 1907 |
| 88' | ⚽ | Luca Zanimacchia · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Edoardo Goldaniga · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 3 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 190.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.43 | 2.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1593.11 | 1528.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.52 | 19.21 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.63 |
| league points | 53.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.86 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.88 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.21 | 27.07 |
| state index | 0.52 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |