← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Mar 3, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Fabbri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 41% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Catanzaro win | 29% | 3.36 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cosenza −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Cosenza |
| 6' | 🟨 | Jacopo Petriccione · Catanzaro |
| 31' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 43' | 🟨 | Simone Mazzocchi · Cosenza |
| 49' | 🟨 | Francesco Forte · Cosenza |
| 61' | 🟨 | Michael Venturi · Cosenza |
| 77' | 🟨 | Michael Venturi · Cosenza |
| 77' | 🟥 | Michael Venturi · Cosenza |
| 89' | ⚽ | Tommaso Biasci · Catanzaro |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessandro Micai · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 4 | Fouls | 24 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 2.00 | 853.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1437.91 | 1422.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.72 | 43.41 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.60 |
| league points | 33.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 84.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 4.82 | 4.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | 1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 1.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |