← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Mar 3, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 39% | 2.48 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Pisa win | 28% | 3.42 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cittadella −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Andrea Tessiore · Cittadella |
| 18' | 🟨 | Stefano Negro · Cittadella |
| 66' | 🟨 | Tomás Esteves · Pisa |
| 70' | 🟨 | Pietro Beruatto · Pisa |
| 89' | ⚽ | Tommaso Barbieri · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 12 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 976.00 | 246.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.66 | 3.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1426.66 | 1460.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -55.27 | -2.78 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 45.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| league points | 36.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 3.82 | 3.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.43 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.61 | 26.94 |
| state index | -1.14 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.03 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |