← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Mar 3, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Monaldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 44% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Spezia win | 25% | 3.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Spezia −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.52 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Valerio Di Cesare · Bari |
| 19' | 🟨 | Aleš Matějů · Spezia |
| 26' | 🟨 | Emmanuele Matino · Bari |
| 41' | 🟨 | Ádám Nagy · Spezia |
| 50' | ⚽ | Aleš Matějů · Spezia |
| 56' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Sibilli · Bari |
| 58' | 🟨 | Marco Nasti · Bari |
| 64' | 🟨 | Nicolò Bertola · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 31.00 | 123.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1477.05 | 1449.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.36 | -9.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.10 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| league points | 33.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 4.82 | 3.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 0.96 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.33 | 26.80 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |