← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Mar 2, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol win | 46% | 2.12 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.13 |
| Lecco win | 23% | 4.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lecco −0.5 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Sudtirol −0.5 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Davide Guglielmotti · Lecco |
| 12' | 🟨 | Simone Davì · Sudtirol |
| 44' | 🟨 | Artur Ioniță · Lecco |
| 45' | 🟨 | Filippo Scaglia · Sudtirol |
| 79' | 🟨 | Tommaso Arrigoni · Sudtirol |
| 82' | 🟨 | Gabriel Lunetta · Lecco |
| 85' | 🟨 | Fabian Tait · Sudtirol |
| 90' | ⚽ | Fabian Tait · Sudtirol |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 0 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| coach days | 92.00 | 30.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 3.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1474.93 | 1361.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.83 | -42.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.50 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.60 |
| league points | 32.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 3.82 | 3.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 0.78 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 30.49 | 28.84 |
| state index | -0.28 | -1.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |