← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Mar 2, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Rutella
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 37% | 2.69 |
| Brescia win | 33% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Brescia +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Gennaro Borrelli · Brescia |
| 5' | ⚽ (pen) | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 12' | 🟨 | Ivan Marconi · Palermo |
| 13' | ⚽ | Federico Di Francesco · Palermo |
| 23' | 🟥 | Ivan Marconi · Palermo |
| 30' | ⚽ | Fabrizio Paghera · Brescia |
| 34' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Brescia |
| 41' | ⚽ | Gennaro Borrelli · Brescia |
| 45' | ⚽ (og) | Federico Di Francesco · Brescia |
| 68' | 🟨 | Michele Besaggio · Brescia |
| 71' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Paghera · Brescia |
| 78' | 🟨 | Ionuț Nedelcearu · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pietro Ceccaroni · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 122.00 | 579.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.44 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1459.09 | 1549.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.62 | 21.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.90 | 0.64 |
| league points | 35.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 3.82 | 3.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.59 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.50 | 26.06 |
| state index | -0.24 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |