← Serie B 2023 · Wed, Feb 28, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Perenzoni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 56% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.75 |
| Cittadella win | 18% | 5.69 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Cittadella −0.75 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.85 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Christian Gytkjær · Venezia FC |
| 69' | 🟨 | Claudio Cassano · Cittadella |
| 74' | ⚽ | Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason · Venezia FC |
| 86' | 🟨 | Maximilian Ullmann · Venezia FC |
| 89' | 🟨 | Andrea Tessiore · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 23 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 4 | Corners | 14 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 484.00 | 972.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1554.69 | 1434.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.04 | -59.91 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | -0.57 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| league points | 48.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 4.18 | 4.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.84 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.66 | 27.92 |
| state index | 0.47 | -1.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |