← Serie B 2023 · Tue, Feb 27, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 60% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.13 |
| Cosenza win | 16% | 6.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −1 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 −1 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Wylan Cyprien · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 30' | 🟨 | Michael Venturi · Cosenza |
| 40' | ⚽ | Michele Camporese · Cosenza |
| 63' | 🟨 | Botond Balogh · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 67' | 🟨 | Drissa Camara · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 69' | 🟨 | Adrian Benedyczak · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 69' | 🟨 | Mirko Antonucci · Cosenza |
| 73' | 🟨 | Botond Balogh · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 73' | 🟥 | Botond Balogh · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 89' | 🟨 | Simone Mazzocchi · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Parma Calcio 1913 | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Ennio Tardini |
| coach days | 575.00 | 241.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1612.21 | 1431.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.27 | 20.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.84 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.30 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.75 |
| league points | 55.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 3.18 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.12 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.80 | 26.43 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.77 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |