← Serie B 2023 · Tue, Feb 27, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: K. Bonacina
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 62% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.37 |
| Ternana win | 16% | 6.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo −1 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Ternana −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.64 |
| Under | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Gastón Pereiro · Ternana |
| 19' | ⚽ | Kristoffer Lund · Palermo |
| 64' | ⚽ | Niklas Pyyhtiä · Ternana |
| 67' | 🟨 | Salim Diakité · Palermo |
| 68' | 🟨 | Filippo Ranocchia · Palermo |
| 74' | ⚽ | Antonio Raimondo · Ternana |
| 76' | 🟨 | Franco Carboni · Ternana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kees de Boer · Ternana |
| 90' | ⚽ | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Ternana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.83 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 575.00 | 118.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1564.66 | 1412.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.28 | 1.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.65 | -0.97 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.75 |
| league points | 46.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 3.27 | 3.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -10.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.85 | 26.29 |
| state index | 0.69 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |