← Serie B 2023 · Tue, Feb 27, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Prontera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Sampdoria win | 31% | 3.17 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese +0 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Sampdoria +0 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Dennis Johnsen · Cremonese |
| 7' | 🟨 | Valentin Antov · Cremonese |
| 13' | ⚽ | Daniele Ghilardi · Sampdoria |
| 15' | 🟨 | Zan Majer · Cremonese |
| 39' | 🟨 | Charles Pickel · Cremonese |
| 49' | 🟨 | Facundo González · Sampdoria |
| 58' | 🟨 | Frank Tsadjout · Cremonese |
| 70' | ⚽ | César Falletti · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniele Ghilardi · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 22 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| coach days | 271.00 | 179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 3.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1472.66 | 1576.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.55 | 1.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.85 |
| league points | 33.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 24.98 | 28.32 |
| state index | -0.27 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |