← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Feb 24, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Chiffi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 win | 38% | 2.64 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 win | 32% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 +0 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 +0 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Adrian Benedyczak · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 24' | ⚽ | Simone Verdi · Como 1907 |
| 40' | 🟨 | Lucas Da Cunha · Como 1907 |
| 87' | 🟨 | Edoardo Goldaniga · Como 1907 |
| 89' | 🟨 | Nahuel Estévez · Parma Calcio 1913 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hernani · Parma Calcio 1913 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Como 1907 | Parma Calcio 1913 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 85.00 | 572.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1503.50 | 1613.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.76 | 10.54 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | 0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.54 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.30 | 47.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| league points | 45.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 2.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.76 | 24.71 |
| state index | -0.12 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | -0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |