← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Feb 24, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Feralpisalo win | 37% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Ascoli win | 31% | 3.24 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Feralpisalo +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Ascoli +0 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.77 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Giacomo Manzari · Feralpisalo |
| 32' | ⚽ | Patrizio Masini · Ascoli |
| 40' | 🟨 | Pablo Rodríguez · Ascoli |
| 48' | 🟨 | Jeremiah Streng · Ascoli |
| 60' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Ascoli |
| 72' | 🟨 | Davide Balestrero · Feralpisalo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feralpisalo | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Leonardo Garilli |
| coach days | 146.00 | 115.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1419.12 | 1431.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.05 | 3.93 |
| eye test v1 | 0.57 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| league points | 21.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 0.84 | 0.92 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.84 | -1.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.39 | 28.56 |
| state index | 0.00 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.08 | -1.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |