← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Feb 24, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 42% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Catanzaro win | 28% | 3.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Cittadella −0.25 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Marco Pompetti · Catanzaro |
| 4' | 🟨 | Enrico Baldini · Cittadella |
| 19' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 29' | ⚽ (pen) | Enrico Baldini · Cittadella |
| 32' | 🟨 | Stefano Scognamillo · Catanzaro |
| 56' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 85' | 🟨 | Davide Veroli · Catanzaro |
| 90' | 🟨 | Enrico Brignola · Catanzaro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 968.00 | 845.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1447.69 | 1393.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -64.25 | 2.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.61 |
| league points | 36.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 86.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 63.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | 1.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.29 | 27.79 |
| state index | -1.03 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | 1.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |