← Serie B 2023 · Fri, Feb 23, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Di Marco
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 37% | 2.79 |
| Sampdoria win | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Sampdoria +0 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Petar Stojanović · Sampdoria |
| 12' | 🟨 | Fabio Depaoli · Sampdoria |
| 15' | 🟨 | Alessandro Fontanarosa · Cosenza |
| 23' | ⚽ | Ebrima Darboe · Sampdoria |
| 26' | ⚽ | Manuel De Luca · Sampdoria |
| 68' | 🟨 | Ebrima Darboe · Sampdoria |
| 73' | 🟨 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 75' | ⚽ | Gianluca Frabotta · Cosenza |
| 87' | 🟨 | Facundo González · Sampdoria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gerard Yepes · Sampdoria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 12 | Corners | 0 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 237.00 | 267.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1443.12 | 1461.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.81 | -19.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.55 |
| league points | 32.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 6.27 | 6.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.79 | 24.86 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |