← Serie B 2023 · Sun, Feb 18, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 51% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 |
| Modena win | 21% | 4.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Modena −0.5 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Francesco Zampano · Venezia FC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Thomas Battistella · Modena |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
| 61' | ⚽ | Fabio Gerli · Modena |
| 71' | ⚽ | Joel Pohjanpalo · Venezia FC |
| 76' | 🟨 | Tanner Tessmann · Venezia FC |
| 76' | 🟨 | Alessandro Pio Riccio · Modena |
| 77' | ⚽ | Antonio Palumbo · Modena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fabio Gerli · Modena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Modena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 474.00 | 262.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1549.23 | 1455.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.77 | 2.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.67 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| league points | 44.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.93 | 0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.41 | 25.79 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |