← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Feb 17, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: L. Zufferli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 50% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Sudtirol win | 21% | 5.39 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Sudtirol −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.53 |
| Over | 36% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Jasmin Kurtić · Sudtirol |
| 31' | ⚽ | Nicolò Brighenti · Catanzaro |
| 41' | 🟨 | Luca D'Andrea · Catanzaro |
| 44' | 🟨 | Filippo Scaglia · Sudtirol |
| 47' | ⚽ | Matias Antonini · Catanzaro |
| 52' | 🟨 | Jasmin Kurtić · Sudtirol |
| 59' | ⚽ | Emanuele Pecorino · Sudtirol |
| 62' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Catanzaro |
| 74' | 🟨 | Tommaso Arrigoni · Sudtirol |
| 80' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Catanzaro |
| 80' | 🟥 | Nicolò Brighenti · Catanzaro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 24 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days | 838.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1392.94 | 1466.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.21 | -13.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.63 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.58 |
| league points | 38.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.53 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 26.75 | 28.98 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.19 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |