← Serie B 2023 · Sat, Feb 17, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 41% | 2.42 |
| Como 1907 win | 31% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Como 1907 −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Palermo −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bellemo · Como 1907 |
| 35' | ⚽ | Matteo Brunori · Palermo |
| 55' | 🟨 | Marco Curto · Como 1907 |
| 64' | ⚽ | Filippo Ranocchia · Palermo |
| 67' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Mariano · Palermo |
| 83' | ⚽ | Federico Di Francesco · Palermo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Samuel Ballet · Como 1907 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 0 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Como 1907 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.81 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 565.00 | 78.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1549.60 | 1516.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.49 | 6.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.45 | 0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 42.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 7.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 18.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.11 | 28.07 |
| state index | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |